Economics

China’s Currency Policy May Be Facing a New Chapter

  • Sustained appreciation in the yuan could hurt exporters
  • Disorderly moves from past liberalizations cast a shadow
BNY Mellon Investment Management Senior Sovereign Analyst Aninda Mitra weighs in on Chinese capital controls.(Source: Bloomberg)
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In the fraught history of Chinese currency policy, a new chapter could be looming this year as authorities consider the consequences of a yuan that’s testing its strongest levels since mid-2015.

After successfully shutting off potentially destabilizing capital outflows and putting a floor under the yuan, policy makers may now have the luxury of looking at relaxing some of the strictures on domestic money. But China watchers warn that any moves are likely to be gradual and calibrated, given the turmoil of 2015 -- when a sliding yuan spooked global markets.